Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1.586043 1.832497 2.099185 2.408532 2.756772 3.135948 3.579311
2024-10-20 1.146500 1.472440 1.857440 2.342681 2.934578 3.629550 4.503430
2024-10-27 0.896581 1.265457 1.736098 2.373168 3.204475 4.243008 5.627725
2024-11-03 0.719220 1.105947 1.634656 2.396622 3.450336 4.837590 6.779708
2024-11-10 0.582436 0.969698 1.533733 2.393771 3.645769 5.371062 7.889736
2024-11-17 0.470151 0.844320 1.422752 2.352034 3.769665 5.805063 8.889088
2024-11-24 0.381604 0.736936 1.318202 2.298722 3.860392 6.187848 9.834419
2024-12-01 0.324268 0.669429 1.263825 2.311293 4.044399 6.713022 11.017079
2024-12-08 0.272889 0.601733 1.197191 2.291704 4.169615 7.151554 12.093047
2024-12-15 0.242203 0.566576 1.180716 2.352079 4.426153 7.807818 13.542721
2024-12-22 0.209624 0.520939 1.137613 2.358202 4.588042 8.319465 14.791974
2024-12-29 0.193357 0.506254 1.150482 2.466207 4.933613 9.152832 16.609233
2025-01-05 0.174027 0.482266 1.143915 2.541200 5.235187 9.947704 18.439684
2025-01-12 0.148239 0.437947 1.089422 2.516966 5.353933 10.440337 19.800500
2025-01-19 0.132289 0.414099 1.074747 2.570492 5.623009 11.214498 21.692696
2025-01-26 0.117130 0.388765 1.052704 2.605468 5.858271 11.942793 23.547911
2025-02-02 0.101984 0.359728 1.017341 2.606938 6.025879 12.556841 25.234430
2025-02-09 0.086645 0.326063 0.965154 2.564044 6.097891 12.995212 26.626168
2025-02-16 0.073019 0.293683 0.910380 2.507501 6.134451 13.365740 27.910862
2025-02-23 0.064398 0.274815 0.887147 2.521488 6.321014 14.036144 29.790073
2025-03-02 0.055622 0.252793 0.851525 2.500555 6.428287 14.554959 31.406894
2025-03-09 0.050934 0.243926 0.850843 2.565770 6.731366 15.481443 33.851477
2025-03-16 0.044957 0.228407 0.828357 2.572417 6.901288 16.146140 35.818094